What are declination triggers? The seven pass/fail gates for real estate equity deals.

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What are declination triggers? The seven pass/fail gates Ocean Ridge runs before diligence.

Declination triggers are seven pass/fail tests we run on every real estate equity deal before we spend a day on diligence. They cover price, rents, loan size, debt type, debt coverage, break-even occupancy and the sponsor’s record. Fail one and we pass. So no real estate deal reaches you with a failed gate, and any gate that needed a closer look is shown to you in writing.

For educational purposes only. Nothing on this page is investment, legal or tax advice, and nothing here is an offer to buy or sell any security. Ocean Ridge Capital Partners, LLC is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, law firm or accounting firm.

What this question is really asking

You want to know what we actually say no to. Every sponsor calls its process rigorous. The better question is what would stop them, written down before they fall for a deal. That is what these gates are. We set them in advance so a good story can never outvote a bad number.

What are the seven gates?

#GateWhat it checksTo pass
1Entry priceWhat is paid vs. what it is worthAt or below market value
2RentsThe sponsor’s projected rentsAt or below today’s market
3Loan to costHow much of the cost is borrowedUnder 75%
4Debt structureWhether the interest rate can run awayNo floating rate without a cap
5Debt coverageIncome vs. the loan paymentAbove 1.25x
6Break-even occupancyHow full it must be to pay its billsUnder 85%
7Sponsor backgroundTrack record, lawsuits, past investorsClean

Gates one and two are about price, because no amount of good work fixes paying too much. Three through five are about the loan, because debt is what turns a bad year into a lost property. Six is your margin for error. Seven is the people.

Why does break-even occupancy matter so much?

Break-even occupancy is how full a property has to be to cover its loan and its bills. Under 85% means that even with 15% of the units empty, it still covers the loan. Projected returns tell you what happens if things go right. Break-even tells you how much can go wrong and still leave you whole.

What does a real deal look like against the gates?

Each gate comes out one of three ways. Clear means it passes. Fail means we pass on the deal. Qualified means it misses today for a reason we understand, with a dated fix we can check, and we say so in writing before anyone invests.

On Patriot Fund V, the most recent fund we invested in alongside our investors, six gates were clear and one was qualified. The qualified gate was debt structure. 15 of the fund’s 16 loans were fixed-rate, and one floating-rate bridge loan was being refinanced. That is on the deal page, in the same table investors saw before they invested.

Do private credit and oil and gas use the same gates?

No. Each asset class gets its own screen, built around how it makes and loses money.

Asset classHow we screen itRead more
Real estate equityThe seven declination triggers, then full diligenceThis page
Private creditCushion under your dollar, fund borrowing, loan length, real losses, recovery#42, #43
AlternativesThe “why is it uncrowded” test, then the same discipline#52
Oil and gasA separate screen built around the operator and the wells#53

How we think about it

A standard you will not name is one you can quietly drop. So we publish ours.

Gate seven is the one most investors skip. Operating history, lawsuits and how past investors came out are all checkable, but by the time most people read the offering documents they already want the deal to work. We check it anyway.

Some deals we pass on will do fine without us. That is the cost of having a rule, and it is why the deals that reach you are worth a look.

Where this does not apply

These gates are built for income-producing real estate, like apartments, mobile home parks and storage. They do not fit ground-up development, where the risk sits in the construction schedule, or a distressed purchase, where the low price is the whole idea. Other asset classes use the screens in the table above.

Related questions

What is loan to cost, and why 75%?

It is the loan divided by the full cost to buy and improve the property. Under 75% means the owners’ equity takes the first quarter of any drop in value before the lender is touched.

What is wrong with floating-rate debt without a cap?

When rates jumped in 2022, uncapped floating loans repriced fast and broke a lot of deals. A cap puts a ceiling on the interest bill.

What does 1.25x debt coverage mean?

The property’s income is 1.25 times its loan payment. Income can fall about 20% and still cover the loan.

Do you ever invest when a gate fails?

No. A fail ends the review. A qualified gate is different, and we show it to you with the reason and the fix.

If you are weighing a deal this year, book an investor strategy call.

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